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Seacon'03: Eastercon 2003
The 54th British Easter Science Fiction Convention
18--21 April 2003, Hanover International Hotel, Hinckley
GoHs:
Mary Gentle
(unable to attend
due to work commitments),
Chris Evans
,
Fangorn (Chris Baker).
The
second Eastercon in the bizarre, but friendly,
Hanover
Hinckley
. The facilities were again excellent: good function room
space, friendly staff, and continuous food: the lunch and dinner menu this
time varied from day to day, and even had some surprising items [the
graffiti reads:
I know we all watch Buffy, but this is ridiculous!
].
The mushrooms were again in plentiful supply. What is it with Eastercons
and breakfast mushrooms? One speculation: "I'm eating as far from my
species as possible".
One of the serendipitous moments was catching a bunch of Dr Who clips
brilliantly edited together to Bonnie Tyler's rendition of
Total
Eclipse of the Heart
.
Programme highlights
Nigel Furlong --
Thunderbirds are Go!
On disaster management and the
real
International Rescue
-
International Rescue Corps
-
A UN registered disaster charity
-
rescue people from earthquakes, flooding, ...
-
in tropical countries, have only 24 hours to rescue people,
because of heat dehydration
-
Colchester was flattened by an earthquake 150 years ago
-
US 9/11 disaster
-
there are 258 urban search and rescue teams in the US, all
but one ended up in NY -- what if something else had happened at
the same time?
-
US constitution forbids calling in help from "foreign
powers" -- EU and UN will not send help unless invited --
required creative memo drafting
-
UK firefighters also help
-
Lowland search and rescue teams -- look for missing people --
descended form disbanded civil defence units
-
Disaster management
-
what's the worst thing that you could do -- sabotage/terrorism
-
business continuity
-
nuclear industry has plans for being hit by a 767 -- used to
be thought too low a risk for skyscraper plans
-
US "flew" an F4 phantom with a full bomb load into a
block of concrete the same thickness as a nuclear containment
-
the plane disintegrated, the wall had to be repainted
-
nuclear reactor have
very
deep foundations, because of
earthquake risk
-
Rutherford Appleton laser synchrotron, ~2000m foundations,
for stability
-
nuclear sites have annual "level 1 incident" practice
exercises
-
the best everyday manager is not necessarily the best
disaster manager
-
What about a bio-disaster, eg SARS?
-
Smallpox -- the last UK outbreak, more people died from the
vaccine (a few) than from the disease
-
kills less than a third of the people who get it
-
trace and vaccinate contacts -- trace train passengers via
credit cards
-
medics have more power than police to put people away
-
a pinhead of ricin could kill everyone in this room -- but only
if I put it on a pin and stab everyone! -- diluted it's harmless
-
The Japanese nerve gas attack
-
the group had previously dropped 5kg of anthrax-contaminated
powder -- no-one got sick
-
they has also sprayed a US base with botulinus -- no-one got
sick
-
all the showering and handwashing nowadays helps stop the
spread
-
so its not a massive risk -- the risk analysis has been done
-
the most dangerous part of a "dirty bomb" is the explosive
-
building a nuclear weapon -- it's not the science, it's the
engineering
-
most of the nuclear transactions in the ex-SU are customs
officers and journalists, with not a criminal in sight!
Panel --
Milestones in 20th Century TV and film
Steve Green, Tony Berry, Judith Proctor, Dave Lally
[This panel worked well, because the discipline of keeping to the
decades stopped it degenerating too quickly into "name your favorite
show"]
-
1903 --
Le Voyage dans la Lune
-- Georges Méliès
-
most films then were 2--3 minutes -- it was 20 minutes, with a
plot
-
many early films were SF/fantasy, playing with a new medium
-
Edison made pirate copies
-
1925 --
Metropolis
-- Fritz Lang
-
political SF -- visually superb -- crap script
-
new DVD has longest existing cut -- not necessarily the best cut
-
Hitler was so impressed he asked Lang to direct propaganda films
-- Lang instead went to the US
-
1936 --
Things to Come
-- Alexander Korda
-
probably a better film than the book -- but
H. G. Wells
did have a big
input
-
science versus humankind -- all wearing bathrobes in the future!
-
many things became instant cliches
-
1940s -- nothing! -- well, there
was
a war on
-
many Saturday morning series, but no major films
-
comic strip spinoffs, lots of horror films
-
1942 --
Went the Day Well?
-
Graham Greene script
-
remarkable propaganda film -- set in context of a flashback
after the war had been won
-
1946 --
A Matter of Life and Death
-- Powell and
Pressburger
-
1950 --
Destination Moon
-- George Pal
-
from a
Heinlein
story --
in a ponderous documentary style
-
rocket looks like a V2 -- used Hermann Oberth as a consultant
-
Chesley Bonestall
did
the moon scenes
-
didn't have a big effect on Hollywood
-
1951 --
The Day the Earth Stood Still
-
there were many Red Scare films, like
Them!
-
this had a peaceful message -- the Korean War was still on
-
also a resurrection story
-
Farewell to the Master
-- Gort (the robot) was the boss
-
1956 --
Forbidden Planet
-
(semi-)serious -- starred Walter Pidgeon as Morbius
-
cost $2M -- a huge amount of money
-
the big machine was ripped off by
B5
-- lots of homages in B5
-
Robbie the Robot -- the beginning of the friendly cuddly robots
-
plot nicked from Shakespeare --
The Tempest
-
1956 --
Invasion of the Body Snatchers
-
1968 --
2001
-- Stanley Kubrick
-
same year as
Planet of the Apes
, and
Night of the
Living Dead
-
travesty --
PotA
got the SFX Oscar for its apes, but
2001
's
apes are better
-
bomb/takeover films
-
Fail Safe
(1964),
Dr Strangelove
(1963),
Seven
Days in May
(1964)
-
The Manchurian Candidate
(1962) -- political SF
-
The Birds
(1963)
-
The Wargame
-- TV film commissioned by BBC, then
banned because so shocking
-
1977 --
Star Wars
-- George Lucas
-
an SF classic -- blatant application of
classical myths
-
the big difference between the first and second trilogies is the
target audience
-
episodes IV--VI : late teens
-
episodes I--III : 8-9 year olds who want to buy the
merchandising
-
merchandising is a milestone in itself -- it can come out
before the film
-
very little early 1970s SF
-
Logan's Run
(1976)
-
Michael Crichton
:
The
Andromeda Strain
(1970),
Westworld
(1973), ...
-
1971 --
A Clockwork Orange
,
Silent Running
,
The Omega Man
-
No Blade of Grass
(1970),
Death Line
-- "mind
the gap"!
-
Soylent Green
(1973),
The Stepford Wives
(1974)
-
Zardoz
(1973) -- Sean Connery in an nappy!
-
Dark Star
(1974) -- $6000 -- very young John
Carpenter
-
The Man Who Fell to Earth
(1976) -- very close to the
Walter Tevis
book
-
CE3K --
Close Encounters of the Third Kind
(1977)
-
1980s
-
1982 --
E.T.
-- Steven Spielberg
-
1982 --
Bladerunner
-- Ridley Scott
-
very impressive film -- directors cut, not the "happy
ending" one
-
has influenced look of films and adverts ever since
-
Alien
(1979) and
Aliens
(1986)
-
after that, Sigourney Weaver was getting paid more and more
for worse and worse episodes
-
Mad Max
(1979),
Mad Max 2
(1981)
-
all these films are influential in the wrong way
-
1985 --
Brazil
-- Terry Gilliam
-
Cocoon
(1985) -- it's so nice! --
The
Terminator
(1984)
-
1990s
-
12 Monkeys
(1995)
-
what's so new is the SFX -- a major part of the film in
Terminator
2
(1991),
X-Men
(2000), etc
-
Galaxy Quest
(1999) -- a wonderful spoof
-
The Matrix
(1999)
-
influenced fight scenes -- especially later
Buffy
-- wire work hadn't been so well known in the west before
-
Being John Malkovich
-
Radio
-
1930s --
War of the Worlds
-
1950s --
Journey into Space
-
1970s --
Hitch Hikers Guide to the Galaxy
-
1950s TV
-
1953--59 --
Quatermass
series -- Nigel Kneale
-
proper SF -- taken seriously -- very scary -- everyone
watched it
-
1954 --
1984
-- Peter Cushing -- caused questions in the
House, it was so brutal
-
1949--55 --
Captain Video
-
1959--64 --
The Twilight Zone
-
Flash Gordon
-
1960s
-
1960 --
Pathfinders
-
1961 --
A for Andromeda
-- the BBC wiped most of it
-
Irene Shubik -- 1962 --
Out of this World
-- commissioned
series of one hour plays -- then 1965--71 --
Out of the Unknown
-
1965--68 --
Lost in Space
-
1966--69 (1969--71 in UK) --
Star Trek
-- seriously
groundbreaking, but not successful until syndication
-
1968 --
The Year of the Sex Olympics
-- Nigel Kneale
-
1970s
-
1970--72 --
Doomwatch
-- primetime adult show
-
1972 --
The Stone Tape
-- Nigel Kneale
-
Clangers
/
Dr Who
crossover moment -- in "Sea Devils" the Master is watching
an episode of the Clangers!
-
1973 --
Moonbase 3
-
Gerry Anderson
-
1961--62 --
Supercar
, 1962--63 --
Fireball XL-5
-
1967--68 --
Captain Scarlet
-- very violent -- every show
someone had to die
-
Supermarionation was a milestone -- write to the Honors
Committee, for a knighthood for Gerry Anderson
-
1970--73 --
UFO
-- superb shows -- some episodes dealt
with such adult themes they had only late night airings
-
was replaced by the awful
Space 1999
(1975--77) -- a
landmark for putting people off!
-
1975--77 --
Survivors
-- Terry Nation
-
typically British -- bleak, pessimist -- until it because "Life
on the Farm"
-
today we have SARS -- the common cold with attitude
-
1980s
-
1980 --
The Flipside of Dominick Hyde
-
1981 --
The Day of the Triffids
-
1985 --
Edge of Darkness
-
1987 --
Star Cops
-- nice little show -- solutions to the
crimes required knowledge of science
-
1988--93 --
Red Dwarf
-- SF or sit com? -- it got more
SFnal as it went on
-
1989 (UK terrestrial TV, 1995) --
Alien Nation
-- Rockne
O'Bannon
-
Crime Traveller
-- the nadir of TV SF
-
1990s
-
10th anniversary of
Babylon 5
-
much harder and dirtier than the
ST
universe
-
influenced by
C. J.
Cherryh
's
Downbelow Station
-
JMS put in lots of in-jokes -- like the "be seeing you"
Prisoner hand sign
-
1998 --
Ultraviolet
-- a
cracking show
-
1998 --
Invasion: Earth
-- in one sitting it made some kind of sense -- it could have been
saved by good writing
-
1999 --
The Last Train
-- it's not SF, it's a realistic train journey!
-
Gormenghast
-- after watching it, I know why I found it
unreadable
Eastercon Anecdotes
Pat McMurray, Peter Weston
-
1964 -- my first Eastercon, and Rog Peyton's -- in Peterborough -- it
had no name until a month later, when someone realised that, as it was
the 2nd Peterborough con, it should be called Repetercon!
-
small hotel -- the Bull -- ~ 150 fans
-
one stream program -- when it stopped, Ken opened the bookroom,
and we all bought books off Ken -- when he said stop, we all went to
the bar
-
PMcM -- 1993 -- Helicon -- my first con
-
I didn't know anyone, so I volunteered -- been downhill ever
since!
-
Ted Tubb
-
was a split personality -- on the one hand he was this author --
on the other he was this lunatic -- he was manic depressive -- when
he was down you would want to slit your wrists -- but he was always
high at cons
-
at one con he was going to sacrifice all the virgins at a "Hum
and Sway" party
-
you sit in concentric circles, link arms, have a swig of
drink, put out the lights, be quiet (the Americans find this bit
hard), then all hum and sway!
-
1994 : Sou'wester
-- was to be in Bristol --
but the hotel manager found out -- so ended up in Liverpool
-
In 1971 I told the manager it was a literary convention
-
1996 : Evolution
-- was going to be in
Brighton, but ended up at the Radison
-
1975 -- original Seacon -- were sure we could get a hotel by the sea
-- ended up in Coventry -- as soon as you call a con Seacon, it will
automatically be as far from the sea as possible [except in
1984
]
-
so this is Seacon'03, because we are as far from the sea as you
can get!
-
the 1975 bid was put together the night before the bid session,
because the only other alternative was Manchester, and Manchester is
always a disaster!
-
but in 1975 they put another Manchester bid together for 1976 --
a travesty of a con
-
Owen's Park Halls of Residence -- horrible, like a refugee
camp!
-
The bar had iron tables and steel chairs -- built to be hosed
out
-
communal bathrooms
-
like a terrible Greyhound Bus station -- cheap, miserable,
shambolic
-
it could have been worse -- one gang wanted to do it in
tents!
-
Robert Silverberg was GoH -- they drove him up from Heathrow
in the back of a plumber's van
-
1970 -- the only con to rival Owen's Park for real disaster
-
run by George Hay -- nice chap, but created new projects every
fortnight -- attention span of a gnat -- "well meaning" --
SF Foundation only real success
-
Royal Hotel, Bloomsbury -- demolished 3 months after the con --
under sentence of death at the time -- staff couldn't give a damn --
manager wasn't aware the con would happen
-
no SF on the program!
-
the film screen was pieces of paper tacked to the wall
-
bar closed at 10pm -- after which had to queue at the "trapdoor",
for warm brown ale
-
so hideous that Rog Peyton and PW knew could do better -- bid for
1971
-
but it makes for good stories!
-
PMcM -- it's a really bad idea to try to run a con on your own -- I
tried it for
1996 Evolution
with a very
inexperienced crew
-
[the audience agreed it was a good con -- if opinion on the hotel
was spilt]
-
1991 : Speculation -- Glasgow -- Hospitality Inn -- soon redubbed "Hostility
Inn"
-
you must get the right hotel
-
they are used to dealing with businessmen in suits swigging G&Ts,
not scruffy fen drinking beer -- businessmen behave worse
-
you shouldn't try to kid the management -- tell them fen look
funny, but spend a lot on drink, and won't smash the place up
-
Reconvene
-- Adelphi -- black and gold name
badges, each with a different motto -- too complex -- Keep it Simple --
and use a large font
-
horrible tradition in the 1980s of con security squads checking
name badges
-
that's why nowadays calling it "security" is
frowned on
-
anyone who wants to work in security shouldn't be allowed to
-
The 1963 Eastercon Programme Book explained things : "badges
aren't about security, they're about friendship" --
enabling fen to recognise one other
-
1991 Speculation -- the two main programme rooms had the same name
... but never at the same time, you understand...
-
As well as a good hotel, you need a good programme -- even though not
everyone goes to it, it creates intellectual churn -- that was
2Kon
's key failure. [Well,
I
liked
it...]
-
1966: Yarmouth -- crummy hotel -- large manager dubbed "Landeburger
Gessler" (from
William Tell
) -- non-fannish guests -- Ted
Tubb in manic phase formed a conga line of chanting fans clinking
bottles -- was chased by the manager, up onto the roof, chucking bricks
down chimneys belonging to fans rooms
-
can't do this now -- the roofs are hermetically sealed -- we're
in the future now
-
but where are the flying cars?
-
SF fandom is an anarchy, no central organisation, lurching from
disaster to disaster -- no-one learns form the past -- but every Easter
we have a good time -- almost every Easter for the last 40 years, I can
remember where I've been!
Alan Kobayashi --
From Star Fleet to Earth Force
-
worked on
-
In B5, there weren't many closeups of hands, etc so a lot of the
graphic design details got lost
-
got a chance to meet Majel Barrett -- she was very nice, and please
to be working on B5
-
B5 was willing to put a lot of people in background shots --
sometimes up to ~100
-
there were lots of posters and things on the walls, but most shots
were along the corridors -- so most were never in shot
-
B5 was shot in an old warehouse -- very low ceiling -- the air
conditioning could cool only one of three sets at a time, so setting up
was always very hot
-
riot
police uniforms -- used surplus East German police helmets
-
lots of WWII-style posters -- SF is what you can get from war surplus
catalogues!
-
lots of props are hired from prop companies, and do the rounds -- a
prop from
Buckeroo Banzai
shows up in one B5 shot
-
X Files is so complex, it has
two
art directors, working on
alternate shows
-
Macintosh, Adobe Illustrator, PhotoShop
-
no graphics table, just a mouse -- I'm very old-fashioned!
Julian Headlong --
I Am Spike's Liver
On haematopoiesis and poetry, Vampire biochemistry and quantum wibble
-
previous talks
-
I am Spock's Liver -- Vulcan biochemistry
-
How the Black Hole at the centre of the galaxy caused the Russian
Revolution
-
Torturing Babies for Fun and Profit
-
so, for a talk on how Vampires work -- the title wrote itself!
-
vampires made fashionable Victorian stories -- spread of incurable
diseases, and rabies
-
drawing on older legends, folklore of exotic diseases
-
acute intermittent porphyria -- George III -- hereditary
-
congenital erythropoietic porphyria -- Gunther's disease -- 1
in 30 million -- mutation that can occur anywhere -- so everyone
has vampire legends
-
other disease subsumed -- rabies
-
vampire bats
-
resurgence in recent times parallels new incurable STDs, AIDS
-
classification system
-
UK -- by physiology
-
US -- by firepower
-
Europe -- by style
-
China -- hopping or non-hopping
-
they are all poikilotherms -- cold-blooded killers
-
type I -- humans with a quirk -- Goths -- wannabes
-
type II -- biological -- subspecies living with humans
-
drink blood -- strong hypnotic gaze -- don't like sunlight --
allergic to silver or garlic
-
type III -- technical creations -- nanotech, etc
-
shapeshift with conservation of mass -- super powers -- can
infect others to produce new vampires -- fall into dust as nanites
lose cohesion
-
type IV -- strong quantum wibble
-
no body at all, appear in perception of humans -- don't appear in
mirrors, photos, telephones -- feed off psychic energy -- an energy
state that can be destroyed by UV and
13
C
-
type V -- weird demon shit
-
magical -- made by being bitten, or a rite -- variants include
the Stoker, the Rice, the Somtow, and the Whedon -- need blood --
some need to sleep in their coffin -- don't like holy water, silver
bullets, depleted uranium anti-tank rounds, ... -- some can turn
into bats, and to hell with conservation of mass -- need to be
invited in the first time -- can heal from any wound except
decapitation or staking -- don't need to breathe
-
Whedon subspecies
-
can't shapeshift apart from the scary face (except for one
episode of a
Stoker crossover
)
-
strong, fast, super senses
-
can survive on stored animal blood
-
don't breathe, but can give mouth to mouth -- the one who said
it's impossible was lying, because he didn't know how to do it
-
they bleed when cut, so their blood must circulate -- but their
heart doesn't beat -- the demon moves the blood!
-
too much iron from drinking all that blood would lead to
haemochromatosis [bronze diabetes] and liver failure
-
can become intoxicated and hungover, so dehydrated, so kidneys
still work
-
powered by demon-catalysed very very old fusion of the Deuterium
in the blood -- explains overclocked muscles
-
question and answer session -- remember, I have to make this up as I
go along!
-
cold fusion -- where does all the He go -- why no squeaky voices?
-
it goes into very bad English and Irish accents
-
is this how the floating/flying vampires work?
-
small fusion explosions explain the hopping vampires
-
what is the effect of vampires on global warming?
-
they don't breathe, so don't produce CO
2
-- they're a
carbon sink -- with enough of them, could reverse global warming
-
but when you dust one, all the carbon is released again --
Buffy
is causing global warming!
-
a FTL comms system based on instant transmission of Slayerhood
-
set up array of future Slayers, encoded as 1s and 0s, and kill
them in the right order for the message
Panel --
Milestones in 20th Century comics
Steve Lawson, Fangorn, Julian Headlong, Gary Wilkinson, Malcolm Davies
-
started in the 1940s
-
before that, was really only things like
Little Nemo
--
very little fantasy of SFnal comics
-
then it was the Golden Age, followed by the Silver Age, and has
been downhill ever since!
-
Look and Learn
had the
Trigan
Empire
-
My favorite is
Sandman
-- it's sophisticated -- incorporates
a lot of DC heroes in very odd ways
-
My favorite author is Don McGregor
-
I used to buy about 16 titles a month -- kids couldn't afford to
do that now
-
I don't buy comics for the characters any more, but for the authors
-- my favorite is Alan Moore -- or the artists -- so I have lots of
broken runs!
-
We read all the girls' comics, too --
Bunty
,
Judy
,
etc -- there wasn't enough to read!
-
Misty
was all supernatural stuff
-
A new comic would get more sales -- so lots of new releases -- merge
titles once sales started dropping off
-
There's a lot more choice now -- don't run out of stuff to read
-
90% crap -- used to read it
all
, because not enough stuff
-- now can pick and choose, especially if you go by author/artist
-
I still manage a book a day, but there are 3000 SF/fantasy titles
published per year in the US
-
for the price of a couple of comics, I can buy a book -- can read a
comic in ~10 minutes -- books last longer
-
if I want to read, I'll buy a book -- I'll buy a comic for the
way it looks
-
they're ideal for taking to the loo!
-
Everyone draws the same now
-
used to be able to identify artists by their style
-
it's less distinctive -- like pop music!
-
more distinctive at the highbrow end
-
more of a manufatured commodity -- more commercial pressure --
have to draw more
-
a good artist can do ~ a page a day
-
We're in a recession after the 90s boom -- there were 100s of
X-Men
titles a month
-
French/Belgian comics are a very separate market
-
publishing cycle -- one large book every year or so -- doesn't
translate to US marketing style
-
Asterix
in Italian
has better jokes than in French!
-
in Europe, comic books are intermingled with novels on the shop
shelves -- also available in libraries
-
Internet comics -- are they really comics?
-
Scott McCloud
-
can get more adventurous formats -- can do things you couldn't
(or shouldn't!) do if published
-
I can't follow it on the screen
-
can't make it pay
-
There is nothing being done today that Herriman didn't do with
Krazy
Kat
in the 1920s -- drugs, animation, noir, ...
-
It doesn't need to be innovative, it just needs to be
good
-
Watchman
has very simple layout -- but it's
good
-
the movie of the graphic novel of the card game of the toy of the...
The 4th
Science Fiction Foundation George Hay Memorial Science
Lecture
-
my approach is tediously conservative, but leads to some exciting
possibilities
-
outer space could be teeming with life -- all the basic chemistry is
available -- but there may be some major difficulties
-
almost everything I will say is controversial -- and is wrong!
-
what are the basic building blocks?
-
carbon is the only alternative
-
silicon looks like an alternative -- but is actually deeply
unfavorable
-
let's look at our own life -- it's very peculiar in ways we are only
beginning to realise
-
DNA double helix -- one of the most peculiar, bizarre molecules
-- alternatives to DNA are mostly disasters
-
leads to idea there
are
no alternatives --
may be a
universal biochemistry
-
what about rerunning the tape of life (as in
Wonderful
Life
) -- it would be very different -- or would it?
-
we can rerun the tape on bacteria in the lab -- suggests
there
are real trajectories
to life
-
it's difficult to imagine
any
major design in biology
that
hasn't
evolved
-
Fortey --
Life:
an Unauthorised Biography
-
suggests an unexploited eco-role, in the stratosphere, of
large floating bladders -- bladders are uncontraversial, they
exist -- making hydrogen is simple -- but they don't exist,
because there is nothing for them to eat, on an Earth-like
planet
-
evolutionary convergence
-- a constraint on aliens
-
two kinds of sabre-toothed cat -- one a placental mammal, one a
marsupial -- more closely related to hedgehogs and wombats than each
other!
-
some kind of "sabre-tooth space" in which evolution
navigates? are there other kinds of spaces?
-
eyes
-
transparent tissue and conversion of light to electricity both
evolved billions of years before eyes -- why didn't eyes evolve
earlier
?
-
our eye -- camera construction -- squid eye almost
indistinguishable -- most famous convergence -- also there are
important differences, which show they came from different
trajectories
-
camera eye evolved independently ~ 7 times, along with
agility, intelligence, predation
-
compound eyes of insects -- pack many lenses together to collect
lots of light, so arranged in a hemisphere -- minimum size to a lens
means upper limit to total size
-
we would need a compound eye more than a metre across to have
the same acuity
-
so
aliens will have camera eyes
, not compound eyes
-
star-nosed mole
-
tentacles very sensitive to
touch
-- but neurobiology
produces an equivalent of
vision
-
different sense modalities arrive at similar mental maps
-
electric fields used by fish to navigate and communicate
-
several unrelated fish have virtually identical systems --
large brains to process its electrical world -- strange sensory
modalities, but deeper seated commonalities
-
hearing, smell -- convergent in invertebrates and vertebrates
-
what if, 65M years ago, there had been no asteroid impact?
-
Ice Ages are inevitable -- so 20M years ago the ice would have
favoured warm blooded birds and mammals -- the dinosaurs would have
lived only in the tropics -- then hunting would have wiped them out
-- so
climate has no effect in the long term
-
some reptiles don't lay eggs -- give birth to live young --
some even have placentas! -- when it gets cold
-
birds -- vocalisation, tool making
-
New Caledonian Crow tool making is in advance of chimps
-
New Zealand -- devoid of natural mammals, but has birds
-
Kiwi -- honorary mammal -- feathers turning to fur, lives in
burrows, nocturnal, ...
-
is there
a trajectory called "mammalness"?
-
human brain -- trajectory that lead to it over 5M years is
astonishing -- but not unique
-
there are dolphin parallels -- humans overtook dolphins only 1M
years ago -- dolphin brain size increased ~20M years ago
-
radically different brains -- but strangely convergent --
rich social life
-
dolphins live in fission/fusion societies of ~100 -- similar to
chimps
-
sperm whales -- intensely social matriarchal lines -- similar to
elephants
-
so basic structures likely to emerge here -- why not elsewhere?
-
once you've reached a certain level of complexity, things that
might seem impossible become almost inevitable
-
Neanderthals -- cultural efflorescence -- necklaces, etc
-
Fermi paradox
-
we may be alone
-
if not -- we should be very careful
-
honey bee and stingless bee -- convergent social systems --
there were other systems, possibly driven to extinction by this
more efficient one -- could happen to us!
-
Extra-solar planets -- many of them
-
Ward, Brownlee:
Rare Earth
-- need a planet of just about
the right size, with a large moon, volatiles initially resupplied by
comets, which later diminish because of Jupiter
-
we are inevitable
, but Earth may be the only place we could
evolve
-
implications of being alone
-
advanced animal societies -- esp communication and singing --
need more study -- may be
underlying universal music
-
take animal mentalities more seriously -- there are large groups
of
animals on the threshold of humanity
-
we are fouling up the world -- this is biologically as well as
morally wrong
-
So -- if the telephone rings, we shouldn't pick it up. But in my
view, it will never ring.
-
to what extent would different environments put different
constraints on animals?
-
if you make the Earth even only slightly bigger, get
substantially higher gravity -- and it's already cripplingly high --
make it smaller -- lose the atmosphere
-
some people argue that the big birds/flying dinos could not have
evolved unless gravity was weaker -- but the physicists don't like
this
-
fourth power law on fluid flow, viscosity at low Reynolds number,
act as invariants
-
maybe a failure of imagination -- but these parameters do box in
the possibilities
-
what's your view of the Drake equation?
-
Drake and SETI are driven by a "religious conviction"
in the existence of aliens -- they know they are there -- nothing
wrong with that -- there should be several hundred civilisations
-
Webb:
Where Is Everybody?: Fifty Solutions to Fermi's Paradox
-- but none of them really add up
-
is there a curiosity factor missing from the equation?
-
many animals, even ants, are capable of building a mental model
of their environment -- curiosity/playfulness seems to be recurrent
-
Jack Cohen
's
universals?
-
I'm starting from the same place, but saying that things that
have evolved more than once are the only things that are possible --
you tell me something that is genuinely
unique
-- I mean
general biological properties, not nitty gritty disectional details
-
the wheel -- it's evolved in bacterial, and there are strong
arguments against large ones
-
lots of differences in details, but general principles are
convergent
-
could we do a nervous system any other way? it must be electrical
to be fast enough -- potassium and calcium are already taken up, so
that leaves sodium -- sodium channels have evolved more than once
-
what about bipeds?
-
we need hands, or tentacles
-
bipedality is relatively unusual -- about 6M years ago the
Tuscany ape became bipedal -- on an island with no predators
-
you're assuming tetrapods?
-
don't have an answer to that -- necks evolved independently --
there is a group moving towards limbs independently of the ones that
did get limbs
-
there may be unique bottlenecks, entirely contingent on some
event -- but there are
lots
of convergences
-
are there any convergences that "stop", that don't go
all the way?
-
specialists get uptight about the difference between parallel and
convergent evolution -- depends on the common ancestor, but it's not
really important
-
in any one diversification, convergence is rampant
-
cladists regard convergence as an offence to their system!
-
as soon as you find an adaptive zone, it is explored
extensively
-
get waves of diversification, run out of things to do --
homoplasty [similar structure without common origin] becomes an
increasing problem -- there do seem to be trajectories/regions
to explore
-
what are your views on artificial life?
-
I can answer from an area of invincible ignorance!
-
AI to date is a stunning failure-- asking the wrong questions
-
finding the Easter Island of possible life in an ocean of
maladaptiveness
-
how to produce that complexity in such a short time, ~ 10
180
proteins
-
need to get the underlying framework to manifest, else will
never find it -- phase space too vast
-
navigation metaphor
-
the people doing this are very intelligent, and far from the
biologists
-
in comparison with the beauty and fluidity of living
organisms, it's very sterile -- there's no magic
-
there may be deep properties of biological organisms that
only become apparent from such studies
-
with convergent evolution, to what extent are the genetic
similar?
-
there is a good deal of molecular convergence -- molecular
toolkits
-
the eye isn't convergent merely because all use PAK6 -- that is
also used for noses, brains, pancreas -- and sometimes something
else is used for eyes
-
genes are switches -- they don't "do" anything
-
what is similar, what is different? -- story is just taking off
Interview
-
third novel,
Natural History
, published yesterday
-
Silver Screen
is the least bleak one -- people do get out of
it alive!
-
I'm not longer sure AI is possible -- in
SS
I imagined it
would have to evolve itself -- it might have to decide to delete
some of its memories -- how to make artificial experiences
meaningful, know the significance of events
-
when I'm writing, I consciously think about these things
-
but talking about it here, it's as if I'm thinking about them for
the first time -- it's the first time I've
talked
about
these things
-
when you see an apple, how do you recognise it as an apple? -- it
depends on who you are, its significance to you, your senses, being an
animal, ...
-
I like to imagine what it would be like to be somewhere so very
different, what it would do to you
-
before he got into fixed wing flight, ??? was thinking of "individual
Zeppelins
" (a precursor
to flying cars!) -- he had one himself -- that's a future that can
now never happen, because it didn't happen.
-
I can see ashtrays outliving smoking, because they are useful --
little pots to put things in
-
antimacassars survived macassar hair oil by a century -- and now
hair gel has come back!
-
Mappa Mundi
is a technothriller -- I didn't intend that
structure -- first person view didn't work, it had to be a thriller to
work
-
my entire experience of journalists/secret agents is from fiction
-- even real life ones get filtered through fictional cliches
-
Can literature affect you? If you've decided to be a powerful person,
can you read
Jude the Obscure
and not just say "what a
waster"? Can you ever understand someone like that?
-
I love the
West Wing
-- if only real politicians could be so
educated and erudite -- I'd love to have a job like that -- I think
WW
should stay, because people would think that's what it should be like,
and then we'd get people like that.
-
but my mother had a fantasy about university life -- wonderful
and mind expanding -- she was disillusioned when she got there and
found it wasn't like that
-
writers can't be held responsible, because what people take from
the work isn't what the writer wanted, or even put in
-
I wanted to explain the science in
Mappa Mundi
, but it would
have taken reams, and been dull
-
technology has an ethical dimension -- but often the ethical
dimension comes down to saying "no, don't do that"
-
my grandmother has a lobotomy -- done to her by people who really
believed it was in her best interest
-
Natural History
-- I set out to write all those fun bits of
SF I'd never done before -- but then some other things became inevitable
-- ended up a deeply sad novel -- all the characters are very lonely --
use VR as a crutch, totally necessary, to be a social animal
-
there's a lot of circular reasoning about -- inability to think
critically, to think things through -- I came across a lot of that
at university -- it put me off politics entirely
-
now working on something in the future of
NH
-- same
aliens -- not so much of a romp, though
-
are you going to continue writing short stories?
-
I write them on request, mainly -- they are quite hard to do
-
how do you plan the structure?
-
I write a first draft without a plan, then see what it looks
like, and impose a structure
-
the grammar of the story tells you what's going to happen -- the
only reason to continue reading, esp in short stories, it to find
out the particular route taken -- the more structure, the harder to
break out, and when you do, you end up disappointing the reader -- I
find it easier to break out with long stories than short
-
M. John Harrison wrote
Light
so that no-one can read
The
Ship Who Sang
with a clear conscious -- when I read
tSwS
,
at 14, I thought it was great -- I've never read it since, because I
don't want to change that feeling
-
I'm shaped by Anne McCaffrey,
Asimov
's
robots, and
Tanith Lee
-
Dragonflight
was girls and horses, and I waned it to be darker -- it became a
domestic soap opera -- also huge denial of the fact that the
relationship with the dragons is sexual -- dodges the ball -- I
found it difficult to read
Light
-- all the characters are so horrible -- but Mike doesn't dodge the
ball -- but deeply uncomfortable -- maybe that's why McCaffrey
didn't go there -- she wanted the innocence, wanted it to last
forever
-
why "I, Robot"?
-
I chose it because of the cover and title -- I was an only child
-- I came to identify with the robots -- I was becoming aware of how
little you know of others' internal lives -- humans are very good
readers, and also very good liars -- it's rare you are ever so
genuinely interested in someone that you can pay attention to what
they are really about -- it's much easier in fiction
GoH talk -- Fangorn on Art
Chris Baker
-
mostly book covers
-
Myth
series, Red Wall
series
-
2 graphic novels -- which gave the film contact
-
haven't done much painting since the films
-
I stopped the cute dragons after I overheard a comment at an Art
Auction
-
don't do much computer art
-
acrylics are like painting with jam
-
I like doing wings, and mice
-
pre-Raphelite inspiration
-
all your characters are white; do you have a preference?
-
how much do you plan a picture?
-
I usually just wing it -- I don't have a problem with "over
doing" a picture; I'm too lazy! -- I don't put in as much
detail as I used to; the brushwork now flows more freely
Panel --
Not Just the Bookjackets: the wider use of SF art
Pete Young, Steve Jeffrey, Colin Langeveld,
Dave Hardy
-
"Uncle Saddam's Shag Palace" -- article in the Times --
loads of SF/fantasy paintings and book covers discovered
-
Iraqi Minister for Acquisition of Fantasy Art arrested by US
-
new report rather disparaging to art world -- "juvenile",
"kitsch", ...
-
would the same comments have been made if these had been
discovered in Paul Getty's attic? (probably yes)
-
but if you copy them and paint by numbers, you get a Turner
Prize! (of Glen Brown's version of a Tony Roberts cover)
-
some people think a sheep with its arse ripped out is art
-
if the art was separate from the literature, would it get the same "juvenile"
comments -- or would it be seen as a descendent of pre-Raphelite, of
technical illustration, etc?
-
Chesley Bonestall
etc
were doing art in magazines in the 50s -- influenced American moon
race -- dream that the engineers built on
-
pulp cover image -- being rediscovered ironically by small
presses
-
the literature has improved over the decades -- has the art been
raised in the same way?
-
CL -- one of my pictures is in the art show, and Mr Hardy
gave me a good bollocking -- that moon can't look like that!
-
have the materials made a difference?
-
we have digital art -- thank goodness for Poser, Brice, Photoshop
-
at the last Eastercon I sold one painting -- 80% of stuff there
was digital
-
takes
time
to paint a picture -- is the labour worth it?
-
digital is just another tool -- need to learn knowledge for
shadowing, etc
-
some people say the airbrush isn't really art
-
it really speeds up the process
-
I really enjoy it -- it's a whole new way of working -- I
love the Mac
-
I've dabbled with Brice/Photoshop and I find it
really
hard -- it's harder than using a pencil
-
you should use a tablet, then it's just like drawing
-
no, because you're not looking at your hand, but at the
screen
-
can you tell what's digital?
-
yes -- digital is unemotional -- not like pastels
-
people said that about the airbrush
-
can use an airbrush then add in jitter -- can be subtle with it
-
perspective is a pain -- digitally it's done for you
-
increases productivity
-
still need artistic ability -- most people can produce something "acceptable"
in Brice, but not saleable, because it's not artistic
-
AARON
is computer generated -- weird cross between Mondrian and Jackson
Pollock
with Painter, can take a photograph, and make it "look like"
a Van Gogh, pastel, water colour, ...
-
these things can do anything representational -- to be art, needs
to be different -- when people realise this, SF art will take off
-
mundane paintings have associations for people -- they like them
-
so they are unimaginative people!
-
when photography was invented, people said it would replace
artists -- hasn't happened, it's just realism
-
when does space art become SF art?
are SF paintings exhibited outside cons?
-
DH -- I had several paintings in a millennial exhibition --
didn't sell any -- some guy had a painting called
Night
--
large canvas, all dark blue, a few spots -- sold it for £10,000
-
you weren't asking enough!
-
Anne Sudworth
has also had
a London exhibition
-
London galleries have had exhibitions of Hubble space images
-
photographs that look like abstracts
-
NASA are tightening up their copyrights
-
Beagle 2 -- not allowing anyone to paint it, apart from
official artists
-
in the US, several galleries specialise in digital art
-
US cons -- art is more high profile -- people sped ~$500 at the
Art Auction -- but they don't drink!
Final Fantasy
-- completely computer-generated, everything,
even the hair
-
Shrek
is better
-- the hair, the grass, the light
-
SF imagery is rife in advertising -- mainly imagery from films --
Bladerunner
and
Mad Max
how do you get an "original" digital picture?
-
prints already have limited certified copies
-
can make limited edition digital copies -- what might that
artist's estate do if they have the "digital original"?
-
if it's purely digital, there is no original! -- although
new tech may make this possible
art is often judged outside its original context
-
"Bubbles", outside the context of a Pears soap ad,
looks icky
-
art world sees our work as "illustration, which it isn't
-
can look kitsch out of context, or iconic -- "Skegness is so
bracing"
what kind of art does the panel have in their houses?
-
pictures of the houses I've lived in
-
DH -- pictures for sale! -- also fellow artists' works (swappies)
-
some Anne Sudworth prints, and other SFnal artwork
-
a DH print, some African art, and photography
Panel --
SF as It is Writ
, or,
The Aesthetics and the
Ecstasy
-
this panel is about the way SF uses and plays with language
-
it's a reaction to all those "I don't write the story, it
tells itself to me, and I write it down"
-
we think writing is a craft, not something that just comes
naturally
-
parts proceed from inspiration, but should then be grasped in the
vise of technique
-
there needs to be something to write -- a weird silkworm that
produces stuff, then you work it out -- some days are completely
technically based
-
not particularly conscious of the first draft -- in a foggy swamp,
see a tuft, then another, ...
-
later, the conscious shaping happens -- the conscious craft --
not entirely linear
-
first draft is getting something down -- like a bricklayer, putting
down the foundation, then building wall, furnishing the rooms
-
FM -- okay, let's forget the content -- just think of the sensibility
-
JCG --
Pashazade
is a murder mystery, but doesn't read like one
-
structure is of a crime novel -- but there's what's taken for
granted, not explained, in that world, that's not in this world
-
to describe like that -- you take it for granted, then describe
it
-
MJH -- good example is travel writing -- same act as moving a reader
through a SFnal world
-
do it as subtly as possible -- taking it for granted is one way
-
look for deliberate slippage between content and prose
-
talking of one thing in terms of another, paying with
expectations of readers
-
PK -- upsetting expectations
-
people look for certain things in a crime novel -- purpose is to
find whodunit -- but in Pashazade that's not the purpose
-
there's a Paul Benjamin murder mystery -- it was a suicide -- the
investigator is the only one who doesn't know that
-
MJH -- techniques used to assemble sentences into paragraphs, into
sections
-
rhythm is one technique, to work against content, to create
unease, intrusion -- author isn't talking about the things you think
they are talking about
-
in
Light
--
dinner party sequence, feels horrific -- then main character kills
someone, feels normal
-
like Mary Poppins and that terrifying nursery
-
the dinner party is a less safe space than the room where the
killing happens
-
I took out all the markers that make it a safe space --
warmth, feeling of having a good time -- alienate the reader --
take out the clinking of glasses, the "no, after you",
and made it competitive -- unpleasant middle class intellectual
competition -- tones of voice too sharp for the material
-
then the murder is "thrown away" -- can do this
because of expectations of murder -- do it in a sentence, by
describing changing expression in her eyes
-
CE -- very difficult to talk in the abstract -- Mike could talk about
that specific example
-
a lot of time I spend is making something difficult to write look
easy -- I may have sweated blood, but I don't want that blood all
over the page
-
the technique is slave to the story
-
I don't see SF as any different from other literature
-
read lots of stuff
-
I like SF, but I don't like the way a lot of it is written --
I just want to keep the reader interested
-
it's too easy to set up a straw man, invent stuff, crude
social aspect -- I find myself rewriting
Logan's Run
!
-
Shards of Honour
could have been set on a desert island --
Space Gypsy
could have
lost the romance but not the SF
-
a prop is part of the fabric
-
a gimmick is something that could be removed
-
a car pushed on stage in Romeo and Juliet, for characters to
fight over, then rolled off again, is a gimmick
-
let's forget "reader response", and go into a world where
the author is god
-
these are not necessarily contradictory
-
JCG -- comes down to the indices you use -- willing suspension of
disbelief very hard to maintain as you push the car on stage -- need
higher level if indices to make it "real" -- look at
travel/engineering texts/biographies -- mimetic genres -- techniques
to tell people that this is the real world
-
you don't have pages of description on how a machine works --
just a couple of sentences about "the new model" -- ground
it in (false) reality
-
say "I think that X because Y" -- then take out the
"I think that" to give an argumentative sentence not
in the first person
-
MJH -- mainstream "they went to the cinema then had tea" --
don't explain either cinema or tea -- "The Gap" -- write SF
the same way
-
PK -- take it for granted
-
travel writing -- it is strange -- the making real of the strange
-
Maxine Hong Kingston :
The Warrior Woman
-- 2nd
generation Chinese in San Francisco -- perfectly straightforward
account -- yet full of ghosts -- the white people are ghosts --
real, solid, grounded, and like nothing you've ever experienced
before
-
CE -- mainstream "the chap in the bowler hat got into the Rolls"
-- has a whole freight of meaning -- wealth, status, etc -- don't have
same cultural baggage in SF -- do you ignore it, or build in the
resonances?
-
MJH -- what techniques perform this function, in the absence of "The
Gap", without knowing what a bowler hat is? -- not info-dumps!
-
FM -- when the language itself is SFnal -- seem to be SF because of
the way they are written
-
The Ballad of Lost C'Mell
-- has a metre to the story -- there in a lot of SF
-
Appleseed
--
very simple plot, but lots of pages
-
JCG -- you need to write a lot more than you use, then strip it
down to get the rhythm
-
PK -- it's all about what's not there -- the words, the sentences
-
MJH -- but that's what all authors do!
-
FM -- rarely see the same level of playfulness in the use of language
as in SF --
Appleseed
is an extreme
-
JCG -- the choice is defined by the character
-
FM -- still a baroqueness in SF -- enjoyment in the use of words
to paint pictures
-
MJH -- can use simple words with lots of meanings-- control
their meaning with surrounding words
-
joy in language may be the difference between SF and (some)
mainstream
-
The Ballad of Lost C'Mell -- celebrating the fat that words have
no meaning at all
-
arms race with readers expectation that it will have meaning
-
using the prose against the reader
-
PK -- use the words the reader expects, but force them to read them
in a different way --
Heinlein
's "The
door dilated" forces you to rethink "door"
-
there is no safe understanding of the language
-
CE -- SFnal jargon give visual impact, rhythm -- much better than
using a description
-
then
Delany
says "
The
door deliquesced
" -- can't visualise that at all! -- much
more considered phrase
-
FM -- some recent, especially British, SF, I simply can't visualise
-
some scenes in
Excession
,
the ships are simply too big -- being
unable
to visualise it
is part of the wonder of the book
-
similar in
Light
with the mathematics
-
MJH -- can say things like "they steered whole solar systems
into new places, and then lost them" -- the SF reader works hard to
make meaning of it -- but it is a label without a referent
-
A lot of really good SF steals from good mainstream
-
John Brunner could not have written
Stand
on Zanzibar
if ??? hadn't written
USA???
-
David Lindsay :
A Voyage to Arcturus
-- written in three
different styles -- gives very strange effect
-
seance scenes like
Conan
Doyle
-
weird drifty stuff out of
Pilgrim's Progress
-
conversations like hard boiled detective novel
-
linguistic philosophy -- individual words have a meaning, but
sentences don't -- "colourless green ideas sleep furiously"
-
"steered whole solar systems" -- it is important that
it's
not
a metaphor, but literal
-
Romea and Juliet
-- to someone who doesn't know the
Shakespeare reference, would think it was set in an alternate universe
-
some SF writers do info-dump
-
there are different styles, neither right nor wrong
-
KSR has info-dumps in
The
Years of Rice and Salt
-- but does skip over lots of stuff
-- it's undigested in places
-
consider Chris Priest's
???
-- huge amounts of info-dump,
intensely detailed, but digested well
-
lots of SF readers like non-fiction, too, so like info-dumps
undigested
-
when mainstream writers start playing with language, they are quick
to be classified as "magical realism", or "slipstream",
or ...
-
James Joyce,
Virginia
Woolfe
, were inventive
-
SF writers use the invention to do something different, to
create different expectations
-
plain prose used in story-telling mode -- detective, western,
romance, SF,
genre
-- more exotic language became identified
with "literature" -- critics can't see past the plain
prose
-
early SF criticism -- focussed on new ideas, rather than how it was
written
-
Nightfall
-- planet with no
night -- that's not the
idea
-- that's a notion, a conceit
-- the idea is how rationality is better than superstition
-
most SF ideas are actually conceits
-
MJH -- part of the con of language is appearing to be writing simple
language, and not
-
ever since Katherine Mansfield
-
"this is how it is" -- then go on to explain precisely
how it isn't
-
simple language can be wickedly entrapping
Panel --
100 TB is enough
Dave O'Neill, Martin Easterbrook, Robert Sneddon
-
we'll soon have 100 Terabytes, 100 x 10
12
bytes, of
personal storage
-
today 1 TB fills a shoebox and costs ~£1000
-
1 TB ~ 200 DVDs (single sided)
-
I remember when 64k was enough, 1MB was enough, I'll never fill this
20GB hard drive
-
everything expands to fill the available space
-
what to do with 100 TB? a good answer could make a lot of money
-
lots of new things become possible
-
the Web was invented without people noticing -- it was there,
then people started using it
-
index rule
-- 30% of the space is used by the index
-
things I never expected to do with my computer a few years ago
-
download
Buffy
episodes
-
internet newsgroups
-
I would
pay
for a proper archive system I could download
at 1MB/s
-
one day my iPod will talk to yours
-
what episode of Buffy you're up to
-
what style of music you like
-
what books you have read that I would like
-
need avatars -- and a language to describe tastes
-
Tivo -- some people are now watching stuff they would never have
thought of
-
Amazon's "people who bought this also bought that"
works!
-
Schazam -- use to identify a tune you heard on the radio
-
need an appropriate standard for metadata -- semantic data
-
BBC indexing all their video
-
sometimes discussion go back to "and Plato said..." --
we haven't come much further
-
how to show in the database that Ankh-Morpork is different from
London -- and refs to Roman London are different from modern London?
--
we
are good at this
-
ability to turn up at a con, not with a stack of VHS tapes, but a
couple of DVDs
-
some Japanese Anime cons -- one PC, all the data, timer/schedule
+ program to add fillers in the gaps -- download shows via pen or
small flash card
-
new phones have slots -- 1 GB cards available
-
at PDA resolution, can carry a whole season of shows, to
watch while travelling
-
L. Neil Smith
--
parallel Libertarian world -- scene with a data crystal with all
of Marion Morrison's film career -- 20 years ago: "no way"
-- now quite possible with off-the-shelf kit
-
4 levels of tech -- each separated by about 18 months
-
Blue Sky Bullshit
-
Sate of the Art
-
Off the Shelf
-
Obsolete
-
places are moving from tape, to disc, to solid state, to get the
access times, and reliability
-
can change order of news items during the 30s countdown
-
Tivo
-
BBC like the idea it may be the collapse of advert supported TV
-
but worried they are losing editorial control over what people
watch, especially news
-
Royal charter to "educate, entertain and inform" --
want their news to produce and informed public
-
Google.news -- all the world's newspapers
-
KGB plc as a world newsbroker -- free tidbits, then have to pay
for full story -- they are very good at finding out things!
-
GRU had a website on the Iraqi war
-
digital rights management
-
how to pay for it? music/TV industry in denial
-
there's a US soap opera where you can download an episode for
$1.99 -- but then there's no incentive to buy the DVD -- and can
lend to friends
-
result: somewhere between being illegal to lend books, up to data
becomes free
-
EFF -- fair use laws
-
Firefly was cancelled for low ratings, but was the 2nd most popular
choice on Tivo
-
Tivo has a huge viewing pattern DB
-
can build a version from Open Source material, that doesn't
report back
-
it's in your own best interest to report back reliably,
because then people will produce the material you want
-
both Amazon and Tivo will eventually detect if you are gay
-
data is valuable -- archives, security -- data mining old data
-
A Deepness in the Sky
-- data archaeologists -- if someone wants something, bound to exist
-
NASA has a load of 1/4" tapes they can't read, in an old
format
-
Domesday book on laser disc -- 10 years later couldn't read it --
could still read the original
-
medical imagery -- hospitals required to keep images for longer
than the tech exists
-
the
hole in a CD is the size of a Dutch 10c
coin
-- because that's what they used at Philips to design the
original spindle!
-
modern DVDs can read old 1980s CDs (which were 74 mins, so that
Beethoven's 9th would fit) -- lot of effort to be back-compatible
-
can put a vinyl disc on an optical scanner an it can tell you the
music!
-
can read a DVD with an electron microscope
-
old wax cylinder music recordings -- take two recorded on opposite
sides of the room -- process to make stereo and remove crackles (with
three cylinders could get the entire room space) -- now have
digitally
remastered jazz from the early 1900s
!
-
librarians -- the best way to shelve books is by size and acquisition
date, if you have a good catalogue -- a coding system privileges one
particular classification
-
BBC merging classification systems -- Chinese system thinks
pandas are cats -- we know they are bears -- no they're not! they're
weasels! [no they're not! they're racoons!]
-
classification systems are a 19th century tech -- they're
obsolete
-
one paper copy of
Cyteen
cost its purchaser £30k -- when they got it home, they had no more
shelf space, and had to move!
Panel --
Not The Clarke Awards
Paul Billinger,
Jon Courtenay
Grimwood
, Claire Brialey, Steve Jeffrey, Farah Mendlesohn
A discussion of this year's Arthur C Clarke shortlist.
-
The shortlist for the Arthur C Clarke 2003 award is:
-
Kim Stanley Robinson
--
The Years of Rice and Salt
-
13th Century Europe wiped out by the plague -- episodic
history of the next several hundred years, following the same
reincarnated characters
-
Elizabeth Moon
--
Speed
of Dark
-
novel of an autistic who sees patterns in data -- the shadow
of
Flowers for Algernon
hangs over it, because there is
a treatment promised, but it doesn't go that way -- can almost
be read as a metaphor for being alien
-
David Brin
--
Kiln
People
-
people can make temporary clones that last a day, then
memories downloaded into original -- deals with dilemma of not
having enough time -- part detective novel, part philosophical
treatise on personality, soul, and identity
-
Christopher Priest
--
The Separation
-
beautifully written tale of an alternate history -- twin
brothers whose lives diverge in WWII, on a pacifist, one a
fighter pilot -- about how people change history
-
China Miéville
--
The Scar
-
an escape from the city of
Perdido Street Station
--
interwoven with other characters' tales -- baroque feel -- set
on the seas, it's a pirate novel, too
-
M. John Harrison
--
Light
-
three timelines: near future with FTL travel, far future with
a woman as a space ship, then it gets complicated! -- tangled,
complex, does nothing you expect -- about disappointment, and
being human
-
other books that could have been on the shortlist
-
Jon Courtenay Grimwood
--
Effendi
-
it's infinitely superior to at least two books on this list!
-
Jeff Noon --
Falling out of Cars
-
a "cosy catastrophe" that subverts the whole trope
-
Gwyneth Jones --
Castles made of Sand
-
but second books in series often don't get to the Clarke's
(like
Effendi
)
-
Kil'n People
-
I vote to throw out
Kil'n People
-- I'm a David Brin fan,
I enjoy his work, but this is ordinary, a "futuristic thriller"
-- no belief in science, it's something dangerous you have to defeat
-- then he gets religion at the end
-
it doesn't raise enough questions -- I enjoyed it, but I didn't
keep thinking about it
-
it's a better idea than it is a story -- looks for a religious
conclusion -- unsatisfying that there's no answer in SF terms
-
the end is completely grafted on
-
Kil'n People
is gone
-
The Years of Rice and Salt
-
I'd throw out
The Years of Rice and Salt
first
-
me too -- I didn't like it at all -- I didn't get to the end!
-
neither did Robinson: there is no ending!
-
all these have some merit, I can see why they are on the
shortlist --
Rice and Salt
is a series of linked novellas --
some succeed quite well -- the alternative history is a better idea
than story
-
the alternative history doesn't work -- culture is tied to
geography and landscape -- this is very deterministic, there's no
chaos theory -- the future is very recognisable -- astonishingly
monolithic -- the alternative Islam would probably have fragmented
without a Christianity to defend against
-
I love the idea of wiping out Europe! -- but he has to cheat to
get all the analogues -- it's written so you can recognise the
analogues
-
The Years of Rice and Salt
is gone
-
Speed of Dark
-
would anyone accept
Speed of Dark
above the others?
-
the central character is very well conveyed -- but the rest
doesn't match up
-
everyone else is too nice, or too one-dimensionally nasty,
especially the boss
-
I had problems with the main character -- an autist who is a
genius -- in the end he chooses to give up who he is, all to be "normal"
-- Geoff Ryman points out that if you substitute "gay" for
"autist", it's very disturbing -- I don't think Moon
understands what she's done
-
that's the question she puts forward, and doesn't answer
-
that's one of the strengths -- you sympathise with the character,
and are then confronted with the idea he would chose to be "normal"
-- she's taken the harder option, of showing what the impact would
be -- but there's an overwhelming sense of agenda
-
my problem is that the central character is nicer and everything
than all the others -- good job, good relationships, good friends --
yet we're invited to believe he gives this up
-
it cuts across the analysis he gives -- the "thinking and
language
versus
mimicking" scene -- his analysis of
that would leave you to think he would refuse treatment -- his
friends are horrified -- there's a
death
at the end
-
I'm very pleased to have read it
-
it's just not as strong as the others -- there are good bits, but
it's unsatisfying
-
but the audience should go out and read it
-
you really can judge the Clarke Awards by the strength of the
shortlist
-
Speed of Dark
is gone
-
The Scar
-
I would like to remove
The Scar
-- I love this book --
it's a quest fantasy, but we keep being wrong-footed -- I love the
way he uses a character we don't really like -- but it isn't
original in the way the other two are -- it's "more of the same"
Perdido Street Station
-
I agree -- if I hadn't seen
PSS
this would be incredibly
powerful and original -- it's a refusal to pander to the adulation
of
PSS
, to have more of the same characters -- there a
continual refusal to do what the reader expects -- it's frustrating!
-
I'm not sure I agree, but it's hard given the other two -- this
is more sophisticated, better than
PSS
, but has less burning
imagination -- the twists and turns keep wrong-footing the reader --
the characters are extremely strong
-
it's an almost impossible call, but I want to keep it in -- I
like the way China messes with the reader -- irritating, but I liked
it
-
The Scar
remains for now
-
Light
-
I would remove
Light
-- it worked beautifully in
paragraphs, strong intense imagery, but not as a novel
-
How much MJH do you bring to the book when you read
Light
?
I've read almost everything of his, I read
Light
in proof,
the reread all his previous work -- it had that effect
-
it's staggering -- it works as a coherent whole -- brilliant --
insidious -- it stays with you afterwards
-
I can't remember the last time lines of a book stuck in my head
-
there's absolutely exquisite writing, and sensawunda, about the
further future -- but I found I couldn't bring it together --
someone said it's like a fractal jigsaw, a pattern of patterns -- a
work of art, but I can't see it as the best SFnal book of the year
-- maybe I can't comprehend it
-
I promise I won't mention the word "gender"! -- it
lacks unities, the plots don't meet at the end -- why do I like
this? -- it's gosh-wow space opera -- the very fragmentation is what
works -- things fit and don't fit -- what's at stake is the
universe, getting your life wrong -- summation of 70 years of SF --
a closure, and a jumping off point -- I have now read everything of
Mike's, and I can't stand about half of it! -- but this book seems
to come together -- there are no red jerseys, everyone counts --
when she says "I'm not doing this for you, I'm doing it for
me
"
-
wonderfully affirming moment right at the middle of the book
-
apart from Annie, the characters don't like themselves or one
another
-
Light
remains
-
The Separation
-
The Separation
is my favorite -- the writing is
beautiful, very distinct strong voice
-
I didn't get this book -- I respect and admire it -- the writing
is stunning -- the use of history, in comparison
Rice and Salt
is an amateur kid's essay, this book
understands
history --
but emotionally I couldn't ever warm to it -- I'm torn -- it didn't
quite work, even though I recognise it as a tour de force.
-
I got lost -- were there two brothers split, or one?
-
I liked that aspect -- I'm still not sure
-
I didn't get lost, but I did check after that it did work -- this
is very Chris Priest -- all the duality, questions about what's
real, excellent research, right voice for each part of the narrative
-
It's an astonishing novel -- in complete control of his craft,
stunning technical authority -- I did get lost
-
The Separation
and
Light
are polysemic -- capable
of multiple interpretations -- unlike
The Scar
-
I'm persuaded by these arguments -- they are both so
multistranded -- I'm persuaded
The Scar
is not doing this
-
The Scar
is the heaviest book, there must be some penalty
for that! -- it's not so fundamentally interested in stretching the
bounds of SF
-
The Scar
is gone -- but predict it will win in reality
-
The two remaining are
Light
and
The
Separation
-
these are extremes of the field
-
is chocolate better than cheese?
-
I've never seen the panel this stuck!
-
it would be unprecedented to have a tie -- they are both
extremely good -- excellent SF
-
it could be worse -- we could be doing this for real!
-
Light
is definitely SF -- is
The Separation
an SF
novel?
-
I have a really hard-line definition, as an alternative history
nut -- but this is parallel worlds -- and the jury has said it is SF
-
I really liked it -- so it must be SF!
-
are alternative histories really SF?
-
mine certainly are!
-
our decision is basically one of preference -- normally at this
point we try to predict what the jury will do -- but I don't think
we can!
-
vote --
Light
: 3 --
The Separation
: 2
-
the audience should
rush
to the Dealers' Room!
[
The Separation
later won the ACC Award]
Duncan Steel
--
God's
Longitude: the secret astronomical reason why the British colonised North
America
-
I'm one of those people worried about asteroids and comets hitting
the Earth
-
but this talk is about my hobby horse -- and it's all about Easter
-
John Brockman
--
The
Greatest Inventions of the Past 2000 Years
-
most of the usual suspects
-
Freeman Dyson
nominates
hay -- ability to keep horses and cows all year round
-
mine: The (non-implemented) 33 year English Protestant calendar
-
Simon Cassidy got me started on this
-
I've no religious axe to grind -- but this is about a religious war
between the Protestants and Catholics
-
God's Longitude -- Calendrical Meridian -- 77°W
-
in 2000 there was Millennial Fever -- lots of supplements on
calendars
-
the Gregorian calendar we currently use is corrupt and inaccurate
-- there were lots of pronouncements from astronomers that "it
runs 26 seconds slow" -- this is incorrect -- the current
calendar is set up for
religious
regions, to calculate
Easter
-
I'll explain how the British colonisation of north America was part
of that religious war
-
why Jamestown? -- it is a very hostile and strange place --
mosquitoes, natives, etc -- Pocohontas was important because she was
the daughter of a local chief, so helped stop the fighting
-
Bill Bryson
, in
Lost
Continent
and
Made in America
, puzzles over the Pilgrim
Fathers -- they were not well-prepared as colonists -- no farming
gear, but astronomers, sundials, telescopes -- that's because people
have misunderstood the purpose of the trip
-
John
Dee was a strange man
-
Dr John Dee --
The Hieroglyphic Monad
-
Robert Hooke, a rival of Newton, 100 years later suggested Dee's
writings about angels were merely coded messages
-
Dee possibly invented the telescope -- kept secret because of
military applications -- there's evidence Francis Drake used
something like a telescope
-
he made recommendations on calendrical reform -- a secret
calender
-
over 900 years ago Omar Khayam introduced a calendar more
accurate than the one we use today
-
problem: lengths of the seasons (between equinoxes and solstices) are
not the same -- non-circular orbit
-
perihelion is currently ~ 4 January, and moves by 1 day every ~
60 years -- precession of the equinoxes -- 110,000 years for a
complete cycle
-
time between perihelions is 365.259635 days -- current calender
has year length of 365.26 days -- leap year every four years except
on some centuries -- to keep the perihelion on the same day
-
want to keep seasons in step, and Easter in spring -- year as one
vernal (spring) equinox to the next
-
definition of Easter: first Sunday after first full moon after vernal
equinox (unless it falls on the vernal equinox)
-
but this is based on the
ecclesiastical
definitions of
full moon and vernal equinox (21 March), not the
astronomical
definitions (sun crossing equator, which can vary from 21 March by a
day or so)
-
our watches follow the
mean sun
, which can be up to 8
solar diameters away from the true sun
-
it all depends on what you want to use as the reference -- the
church wants to use the vernal equinox year -- 365.2424 days -- not
the tropical year
-
Julian calendar -- 4 year cycle -- leap year every 4 years --
365+1/4 = 365.2500 days
-
Gregorian calendar -- 400 year cycle -- leap year every 4
years, except every century, except every 4th century (1900 and
2100 are not leap years, but 2000 is) -- 365+97/400 = 365.2425
-
Omar Khayam -- 33 year cycle of 8 leap years -- 365+8/33 =
365.242424... -- a better approximation to the vernal year than
the Gregorian calendar, and with a much shorter cycle!
-
however, nothing is constant -- the day is getting longer, etc
-
UK and its colonies use the Western Calendar -- based in 1751 Act of
Parliament -- keeps equinoxes constant
-
the Act is
wrong
in its definition of Easter -- because
it didn't want to use Catholic or Jewish definitions
-
calculation of Easter
-
golden numbers, epacts, dominical letters -- it's complicated!
-
the epact has to be increased whenever there's a century year
that isn't a leap year -- but it's more complicated still -- depends
on the length of the month -- 19 tropical years ~ 235 synodic months
(where the golden numbers come from) -- discrepancy of 100 minutes
over 189 years, or 1 day over 308 years -- epacts
decrease
because of this
-
33 year cycle with 8 leap years is
much
simpler
-
John Dee and the
Anni Domini
calendar -- the Year
s
of
the Lord -- 33 years is traditional length of Jesus' life!
-
1585 was the beginning of the 48th 33-year cycle -- if the
English Protestants were to start using the superior 33 year
calendar then, it wouldn't be visibly different from the Catholic
one until 1620
-
with the Gregorian calendar, the difference between the
(astronomical) vernal equinoxes wanders by up to 53 hours
-
33 year calendar -- wanders less than a day -- and can get it to
stay on the same day by picking the right meridian: 77°W
-
so, with a colony in the right place, the English could claim 77°W
as the prime meridian, could claim a superior calendar, and convert
the Holy Roman Empire to Protestantism!
-
explains some obscure passages in Dee -- a date mentioned is
precisely when the astronomical equinox would no longer be on 21
March
-
in 1584 the first "lost" colony, Roanoke Island, went
to measure a total lunar eclipse -- in order to find its longitude
-
they realise it was 50 miles too far east -- colony left a
note saying they were going 50 miles inland -- but it's all
swamp there
-
1607 -- that's why later colony went north, up the James
River to Jamestown -- all named after King James I [who was, of
course, Catholic...] -- on the claimed meridian
-
1620 came -- the Pilgrim Fathers were actually trying to
reach Jamestown, with their astronomers and telescopes -- but
landed too far north -- 1620 went, and the 77°W meridian
hadn't been claimed -- so the 33 year cycle calendar was never
introduced
-
this
is the reason that Americans speak English! -- it's been
a secret for more than 400 years
-
why didn't the Catholics try to murder the English monarch?
blackmailed by the Protestants that they would reveal the more accurate
calendar!
-
French revolutionary calendar based on autumnal equinox -- Lobster
Thermidor is the only remnant of that calendar (Thermidor was one of the
months)
-
Christmas, 25 Dec, originally coincident with Saturnalia -- also 8
days before 1 January -- circumcision date
-
Christmas doesn't move seasonally, because it is based on Easter,
which is based on Passover, which is based on the Hebrew calendar --
which is even more complicated!
-
The year used to start on 25 March -- tax year still does, after
calendrical reform of 11 days moved in to 6 April
-
Synod of Whitby brought 7 fiefdoms together because of arguments over
Easter (the older Celtic calculations from the north clashed with the
new calculations coming from Rome)
-
England exists only because of Easter!
-
there was an Act in the 1920s saying Easter would be fixed once every
one agrees (!)
-
some of this forms a chapter of my book
Marking
Time
(available in the US only)
Panel --
Milestones in 20th Century science and technology
Duncan Steel, Julian Headlong, Gary Wilkinson, Simon Bradshaw
-
the
pn
junction -- the heart of the transistor -- an
application of quantum mechanics
-
cracking the atom -- Turing universal computer -- chaos theory
-
John Brockman
--
The
Greatest Inventions of the Past 2000 Years
-
the TV and its effect on human mating patterns -- the number of
children conceived on a Saturday night since
Match of the Day
is
greatly reduced
-
digital ecosystems -- idea of consciousness -- healthcare -- space
travel and GPS
-
GPS is totally amazing -- it ties up so many technology fields --
need relativity -- two frequencies used because of the different speed
of radio waves in air -- accurate to within a foot
-
GPS + Good Beer Guide -- navigates you to the pub, then home
again afterwards -- killer app!
-
penicillin -- people will say: "there was this 50 year period
when we had antibiotics -- before the bacteria out-evolved it" --
Fleming discovered it, but it was Florey who developed the necessary
technology
-
physics was the science of the 20th century -- biology is the science
of the 21st
-
1953 -- DNA
-
management theory -- moved on from "scummy proletariat will only
work when flogged into doing so" -- how we engineer, and how we
motivate people, has changed out of all recognition -- TQM, JIT, ...
-
there's too much science now to be able to know all of what's going
on
-
people worried about the bomb and what happens to infrastructure when
it hits -- so they built distributed infrastructure -- and we got the
Internet
-
even 10 years ago, the idea we could find out potentially
any
information through the computer -- Google has changed the way
people do research -- it's also revolutionised mating patterns --
people put their new date's name into Google
-
Hubble red shift and the expansion of the universe -- the final
dethroning of our central place in the universe -- even our galaxy is
only one of many
-
why does the public fund research into astronomy
-
cultural? -- but at rather a higher level than opera!
-
education? -- astronomy is maths and physics "in disguise"
-
entertainment? -- newspaper articles, etc
-
useful? -- but when did astronomy last turn up anything useful?
-
250 years ago --
Longitude
-- the GPS, the SDI, of its day -- navigation and timekeeping --
they are now well out of the astronomical arena
-
asteroids and comets are dangerous -- that's come out of
astronomy in the last few decades -- UK government has spent
nothing
on this hazard -- why?
-
discovery that the Earth has a history -- dating rocks, plate
tectonics
-
19th century -- importance of clean water for public health -- bigger
effect on mortality than all of modern medicine
-
20th century -- the idea that the understanding of world can be used
to make changes to society -- dispute about what is better
-
there's a bad meme that science is a unified whole with a single
answer -- there is actually immense dispute and query
-
every
5-10 years we look back and say how naive our
understanding of genetics was then
-
the "Tipler point" -- when scientists lose it!
-
fluid mechanics -- aircraft, turbines (all our power), turbulence
-
most of the physics that has an effect on us today was invented
before WWII
-
we now
know
how old the earth is, how old the universe is --
more an more bits of science have gone that way -- the error bars have
got quite small
-
[how they can say that when the current best theory of the
universe has it that ~5% of the universe is made of matter (we know
what it is), ~25% is made of "dark matter" (we don't know
what it is) and ~70% is made of "dark energy" (we
really
don't know what it is)!]
-
biology -- understanding the fundamentals doesn't mean we understand
the consequences, how it pans out
Masquerade
Nearly all the entrants were chaos costumes, to an amazingly high
standard.
Panel --
Back into Space?
After Columbia, what happens next? Should we even try?
Gerry Webb, Colin Jack, Dave O'Neill, Simon Bradshaw
-
I've forked out a lot for one of the last Concorde tickets, because I
think that's the highest and fastest I'll ever go
-
there is some alternative space technology funded by the EU, if only €60k
for a 1m
2
solar sail, but I have bigger ambitions
-
Commercial Space Tehnology -- the time in Russia is very good -- by
2005 we will have launched 20 satellites from Russia
-
aerospace projects tend to be expensive because engineers like to be
paid -- design programmes tend to take a lot of people
-
Shuttle Columbia
-
NASA may have got back into the bad habits of Challenger --
accepting problems that haven't yet caused a disaster -- launch
damage -- insulation peeled off and hit a wing leading edge
-
I expect it to fly again early next year -- under limitations,
such as only to the Space Station, where the shuttle can be
inspected externally, and house the entire crew to wait for a rescue
-- may mean no more Hubble missions
-
can NASA replace the shuttle in 10 years??
-
I bet the Chinese will make their first crewed launch before the
Americans get back into space
-
I think the shuttle may fly again -- but it shouldn't --
intrinsically unsafe technology -- rocketry is an accident, a
side-effect of the Bomb
-
we need to go up,
and
come back down
-
very low wing loading designs, very large wings that heat up to
only hypersonic temperatures -- or very big parachute -- "tepid"
re-entry
-
rotating space tethers to lower the speed of re-entry
-
possible to streamline so that doesn't burn up on re-entry --
could also launch this (shades of Jules Verne) with most of the
engineering on the ground -- 10g accelerations
-
we should invest a few billion dollars on non-rocket space
travel, not kill more people
-
NASA budget is $13.8bn this year
-
the shuttle risk factors were given as 1-2% -- they're bang on target
-- space travel is supposed to be exploratory
-
rockets are derived from missiles, developed as artillery -- but
are probably the only sensible way of getting into space
-
we've done 5 of the 10 necessary steps to gain control of the
solar system -- proof of concept, satellite, manned flight, man on
the moon, space tourist -- next need baby born on space, permanent
colonisation, ...
-
lower density does help
-
Alan Bond, HOTOL -- incorporates fuel tank, so lower density, so
controllable re-entry heat
-
rockets are expensive because the Americans make them expensive
-
$20M charged for space tourist -- covers cost of whole mission
-
Americans aren't admit how cheap the Russian launches are --
$1/2bn/launch is ridiculous
-
tourism controversy -- go-getting capitalist Russians
versus
socialistic hierarchy of NASA!
-
the Russians have an emotional commitment and pride in space
travel
-
they are developing fly-back boosters, for environmental reasons
(currently "littering" down-launch areas)
-
I'm not convinced the ISS is a permanent presence, and more than Mir
was
-
prediction of $2.5trillion space tourism industry by 2040 --
venture capitalists don't like time-scales like that, and also
prefer to have a product -- they're not in it for the long haul
-
I would put the shuttle back into flight, with a 10year certificate,
after which it goes in the Smithsonian
-
work out what are you doing-- are you putting people or cargo
into space? -- shuttle is a basard compromise -- does all jobs,
badly
-
space station exists to have somewhere for the shuttle to go
-
expensive because shaving that last drop of performance
-
X prize is interesting -- $10M to launch a person 100km into
space, get them back, and launch again within two weeks
-
small low-cost vehicles are commercially feasible
-
I'm skeptical that rockets are going to get miraculously cheaper --
we've been stuck for ~50 years!
-
in an ideal world, could get the price down by a factor of
several -- but that's still very expensive -- looking for a few
$10s/kg -- not going to do that with incremental rocket improvements
-
new technology will take billions of investment
-
ISS has no scientific use -- like the moon landing, it isn't
leading anywhere
-
don't get too sold on EM rail gun launces
-
you have to use what you've got, and you have to think commercial
-
tourism is best for human space flight -- have to get safety
level to that of air flight
-
there are billionaires willing to pay $10M while it's still
exclusive
-
need a recoverable vehicle, including fly-back boosters
-
I'm talking about steps, not the whole road
-
we should use the Russian facilities while they are available
-- American politics is holding things up -- the Chinese launces
will stir things up
-
not sustainable, but a way to prove it can be done
-
NASA has forgotten -- if you are doing test and development and you
don't
have failures, you are not learning anything
-
Rotary Rocket -- classic example of hope over reality -- only works
with similarly dense fuels, like kerosene
-
5 years ago, launch capacity swamped, because of massive market for
mobile phone satellites -- then that market collapsed
-
environmental problems are dominant now -- especially for new launch
sites
-
Russian rockets are cheap -- modular design, so no expensive
development costs -- existing very good production facilities --
rocketry does not have to cost what the Americans say it does
-
next space race will be between China and India -- battle for
prestige -- Algeria wanted to launch a satellite, for prestige -- space
development is turning into a
Ken
MacLeod
novel!
-
we need to look at new tech before we get locked into rocketry
-
clever space tether still requires too-strong materials
-
beamed power -- chemical energy is not good enough -- send power
from the ground -- microwaves, lasers -- tech still not mature
enough
-
nuclear power -- there's that environmental impact statement!
-
linear accelerators -- for 10g, need 100-200 km evacuated tube --
trivial compared to a raliroad
-
rail guns probably don't work
-
coil guns -- no physical contact between payload and tube --
need 10-20GW, small power station-- scalable, can start small
with 1000g "smart shell" tech -- Sandia wanted to
build a commercial launch facility on Hawaii, using a high
volcano
-
space tourism opportunities -- burials in space -- we have launched
ashes -- not into LEO, because of debris problems, but to escape speeds
-- ashes, photos, CD of genome, ...
-
mixed mode linear accelerator + rocket?
-
not as simple as it sounds -- mix of jet + rocket has optimal
balance at 0% jet + 100% rocket!
-
when will we have a permanent space presence?
-
at this rate, the singularity will have happened, and uploading
will be practical, before we get a permanent space presence!
-
it's almost inconceivable we won't have a permanent presence, but
when? -- I hope I live long enough to see it -- I think it will be
50 years
-
I think 10-20 years if we go about it the right way -- hopefully
not for prestige
-
only motives I see for funding it are religious, and tax
write-offs!